The whole house is that way, from my scale construction drawings to all the insulation, which some of the workmen joke to me about, "will I come put in theirs", the cabinetry, pantry, all the cabinet-plywood walls, all the trim (not yet finished), and soon, the big closet.
Once in a lifetime. So , so many drawings thrown away...
That's a lot of image-bandwidth. I have been posting pictures in the blog(s). The series goes back farther in the "old blog" www.johndayblog.com , which Google censors sometimes, hence the Substack format-mirror.
I expect a lot of them to collapse; not sure which ones, but we are the grass beneath the feet of those elephants, as the saying goes. Grow vegetables.
I'm canning hot-sauce since I have so many peppers, tomatoes, onions and garlic right now.
I looked through that in little jumps. I think he has a lot of the same pieces in place as far as "economic fundamentals" as I see, but he has his synthesis, which is a product he is selling, also.
I became aware of The Limits To Growth in 1974, during the Arab Oil Embargo, but I was in Japan, attending high school. Still, such oil-shortage and pollution were huge topics, so the video mentioning pollution-growth is tuned to that time period. "Pollution" then was poisoned air and poisoned water. The west dealt with it, expensively, then decided to export pollution to "developing countries". CO2 "pollution" as "global warming" is a global manifestation now.
I see the projections of The Limits To Growth playing out pretty true to the1982 "baseline scenario". I think the elites saw the expense of dealing with pollution in the west, and concluded that it was not worth the expense and effort, that it decreased wealth too much.
The speaker says he admires Machiavelli , but acts like "The Prince" is all that Machiavelli wrote.
He wrote The Prince for a particular sociopathic sponsor, and it was approved for printing by a Pope who was a Medici. That's the context of that book. "Discourses on Livy" is a contemplation of Roman history, with lessons to be drawn, published after his death. I have not yet read it, but it is the more even-handed book, I am told. https://www.amazon.com/Nicolo-Machiavelli-Complete-Collection-Discourses/dp/1973921979
Thomas Malthus basically observed that living systems, like groups of humans, or yeast in grape juice, reproduce exponentially, which leads to exhaustion of resources, then die-back. He observed what controlled that tendency in the human history which existed to his time. He did not anticipate the steam engine or chemical fertilizers. His general analysis was correct, but people don't like his conclusions much.
If we look at living with much less energy-per-capita, how might we do that, in wartime, for instance? The energy we use includes transporting food to us, so we might store some and grow some for when supply lines break. We might have a good cargo-bike for local transport, and short local supply lines for everyday needs. We depend upon utilities, and so do the grocery stores and grocers. That one is difficult. People die when water, electricity and gas go out, and internet, these days. What can we live through? What can we re-set down to? /a liter of olive oil is such a prize if you have no source to make it. Trekking in remote areas without utilities or supply lines, where people farm their own food, is very instructive.
We would quickly die.
What could be a new synthesis? Can we live as stewards of nature? Can we use our abstract knowledge to do that in practice? I do assume that our fuel-advantage over the "developing world" will equalize out over time, and go way down in quantity. 20% ? That seems like a lot in our world, like what we would have today if the fuel got evenly distributed to all the people, but it is also declining. We can't make that big of a jump at once, so I am gardening and bicycling.
I need utilities and groceries, especially clean water...
This investment advisor is selling a product to a certain audience that will spend money but not dig in the soil (I presume). Denial of Malthusian and Limits To Growth conclusions is a psychological protection mechanism to prevent cognitive-dissonance in this audience.
I'm about adapting the best I can to what I see as the most probable projections for the next few decades. Anybody can make different projections. I'm just doing my own best.
I think this problem cannot be solved in the abstract. I think all of us living, by our own actions, "solve" this situation by our adaptations, survival and our deaths, as has always happened in the history of life on this planet.
A friend sent me that link (I have no personal interest in the presenter's "products"). I found interesting the context he laid out, that the stuff in the presentation was what investment types discussed informally. I appreciated his frank judgement of the "elites" as psychopaths as I agree with that assessment.
I also find interesting that Malthus was right when he wrote his thesis, but was utterly discredited by the things you mention (chemical fertilizer and industrialization). What I find particularly amusing is that the psychopath elites, such as Gates, Bezos, Musk, et al are all involved in game changing things similar to chemical fertilizer and industrialization, and that their own assuming Malthusian values utterly ignores the potential of more, inventive increases in human adaptation.
Thanks for your analysis of the video. I appreciate your thinking.
It looks to me like the psychopaths want to fit their own harnesses tightly upon life so that living, even declining living, will always support them with "excess value".
They will be firmly atop of all of the drowning swimmers.
IMHO, Ayn Rand was a brilliant philosopher but a B- or C fiction writer. I'd recommend reading "Atlas Shrugged" as it is a conceptual classic. I'd also recommend reading "The Creature From Jekyll Island". In reading the WSJ and other financial news many years ago, I saw the two of those works referenced many times and finally was curious enough to read them. Worth it.
This is Ayn Rand's very last public lecture, given just a few month before her death:
Having installed my own floors and know what it takes, I must say, these look damn good. Damn good.
Thanks, V.A.
Man it takes a whole lot of long episodes to get all the way there!
Yes, but so rewarding to be a part of the built of your own abode.
The whole house is that way, from my scale construction drawings to all the insulation, which some of the workmen joke to me about, "will I come put in theirs", the cabinetry, pantry, all the cabinet-plywood walls, all the trim (not yet finished), and soon, the big closet.
Once in a lifetime. So , so many drawings thrown away...
Saved a few of the final ones.
:-)
It would be wonderful to see a little slide show of the project when you’re done. From the drawings all the way to the present.
That's a lot of image-bandwidth. I have been posting pictures in the blog(s). The series goes back farther in the "old blog" www.johndayblog.com , which Google censors sometimes, hence the Substack format-mirror.
Got it. I meant more as a slide show movie creating almost like a time lapse of the process. But I’ll check out the other blog!
Scary news aside, that floor looks awesome
Thanks. I finally finished the closet this weekend. Baseboards and some trim remain to be done.
I expect all these clashing hierarchies to collapse. Prepare yourselves!
I expect a lot of them to collapse; not sure which ones, but we are the grass beneath the feet of those elephants, as the saying goes. Grow vegetables.
I'm canning hot-sauce since I have so many peppers, tomatoes, onions and garlic right now.
Salsa-for-Christmas this year.
Nice work!
That’s a gorgeous floor!. What a great feeling that must be -- along with the freedom to say you are an “Ivermectin Advocate“ Congratulations.
Thanks Julia,
There is still lots of work for me to do, and I'm behind on the fall/winter garden work.
Life doesn't slow down to let you jump on or off, it seems.
:-)
This gets interesting after around 6:55: www.youtube.com/watch?v=QBvaaLsiWxs
P.S. Beautiful floor!!
I looked through that in little jumps. I think he has a lot of the same pieces in place as far as "economic fundamentals" as I see, but he has his synthesis, which is a product he is selling, also.
I became aware of The Limits To Growth in 1974, during the Arab Oil Embargo, but I was in Japan, attending high school. Still, such oil-shortage and pollution were huge topics, so the video mentioning pollution-growth is tuned to that time period. "Pollution" then was poisoned air and poisoned water. The west dealt with it, expensively, then decided to export pollution to "developing countries". CO2 "pollution" as "global warming" is a global manifestation now.
I see the projections of The Limits To Growth playing out pretty true to the1982 "baseline scenario". I think the elites saw the expense of dealing with pollution in the west, and concluded that it was not worth the expense and effort, that it decreased wealth too much.
The speaker says he admires Machiavelli , but acts like "The Prince" is all that Machiavelli wrote.
He wrote The Prince for a particular sociopathic sponsor, and it was approved for printing by a Pope who was a Medici. That's the context of that book. "Discourses on Livy" is a contemplation of Roman history, with lessons to be drawn, published after his death. I have not yet read it, but it is the more even-handed book, I am told. https://www.amazon.com/Nicolo-Machiavelli-Complete-Collection-Discourses/dp/1973921979
Thomas Malthus basically observed that living systems, like groups of humans, or yeast in grape juice, reproduce exponentially, which leads to exhaustion of resources, then die-back. He observed what controlled that tendency in the human history which existed to his time. He did not anticipate the steam engine or chemical fertilizers. His general analysis was correct, but people don't like his conclusions much.
If we look at living with much less energy-per-capita, how might we do that, in wartime, for instance? The energy we use includes transporting food to us, so we might store some and grow some for when supply lines break. We might have a good cargo-bike for local transport, and short local supply lines for everyday needs. We depend upon utilities, and so do the grocery stores and grocers. That one is difficult. People die when water, electricity and gas go out, and internet, these days. What can we live through? What can we re-set down to? /a liter of olive oil is such a prize if you have no source to make it. Trekking in remote areas without utilities or supply lines, where people farm their own food, is very instructive.
We would quickly die.
What could be a new synthesis? Can we live as stewards of nature? Can we use our abstract knowledge to do that in practice? I do assume that our fuel-advantage over the "developing world" will equalize out over time, and go way down in quantity. 20% ? That seems like a lot in our world, like what we would have today if the fuel got evenly distributed to all the people, but it is also declining. We can't make that big of a jump at once, so I am gardening and bicycling.
I need utilities and groceries, especially clean water...
This investment advisor is selling a product to a certain audience that will spend money but not dig in the soil (I presume). Denial of Malthusian and Limits To Growth conclusions is a psychological protection mechanism to prevent cognitive-dissonance in this audience.
I'm about adapting the best I can to what I see as the most probable projections for the next few decades. Anybody can make different projections. I'm just doing my own best.
I think this problem cannot be solved in the abstract. I think all of us living, by our own actions, "solve" this situation by our adaptations, survival and our deaths, as has always happened in the history of life on this planet.
I seek Divine guidance daily.
A friend sent me that link (I have no personal interest in the presenter's "products"). I found interesting the context he laid out, that the stuff in the presentation was what investment types discussed informally. I appreciated his frank judgement of the "elites" as psychopaths as I agree with that assessment.
I also find interesting that Malthus was right when he wrote his thesis, but was utterly discredited by the things you mention (chemical fertilizer and industrialization). What I find particularly amusing is that the psychopath elites, such as Gates, Bezos, Musk, et al are all involved in game changing things similar to chemical fertilizer and industrialization, and that their own assuming Malthusian values utterly ignores the potential of more, inventive increases in human adaptation.
Thanks for your analysis of the video. I appreciate your thinking.
It looks to me like the psychopaths want to fit their own harnesses tightly upon life so that living, even declining living, will always support them with "excess value".
They will be firmly atop of all of the drowning swimmers.
Maybe we can swim away...
Or go "John Galt" on them...
I had to look up "John Galt". I never read Atlas Shrugged.
IMHO, Ayn Rand was a brilliant philosopher but a B- or C fiction writer. I'd recommend reading "Atlas Shrugged" as it is a conceptual classic. I'd also recommend reading "The Creature From Jekyll Island". In reading the WSJ and other financial news many years ago, I saw the two of those works referenced many times and finally was curious enough to read them. Worth it.
This is Ayn Rand's very last public lecture, given just a few month before her death:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1M8AusmUSJU
She predicts so much of where we have ended up. Her final speech was given in November 1981, so 41 years ago. Worth watching.
Thanks. I'll look at that tomorrow.
Nodding off now...
zzzzz