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freshquest's avatar

Thank you John for this outstanding portal to world events. I have come to rely on your analysis in addition to the excellent offerings at Automatic Earth to shape my understanding of geopolitics. As the bottom bracket spins, so does our world.

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John Day MD's avatar

Thanks Freshquest. I'm trying to be useful and constructive.

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Justin's avatar

Some good stories and analysis there, doc. I vehemently disagree with the premise behind the book The Limits to Growth, published in 1972. The analysis since then has not done anything except to make claims supporting this book (which the globalists and eugenicists are using as rationale to kill us off). The fact remains that food and funds meant to go to people are wasted and stolen by corrupt leaders. There's also a large amount of food waste that happens, and also subsidies paid to NOT produce food and keep market prices higher.

With regards to energy, we have dedicated more and more energy to AI, and companies are clamoring for more. The quantity "needed" for THEIR BUSINESS PURPOSES is becoming a multiple of our own country's entire household needs.

The reality is that this world is able to adequately sustain the world's populations, if there weren't so many non-essential "needs" and far fewer examples of fraud, waste and abuse. It's our lifestyles and unquenched growth in business uses for energy that are affecting us. Poor policy regarding unsustainable "Green energy" realities and dismissal of other energy platforms (not to mention - for instance in Germany) political decisions that further undercut the availability of energy sources are further exacerbating the perception of a lack of energy.

In short, the premise of that book was purposefully shaped to promote and justify a globalist agenda and further controls on us, and increasing income opportunities for them.

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John Day MD's avatar

Many have shared your views, Justin, since Ronald Reagan turned the public discourse in the direction you state:

"In short, the premise of that book was purposefully shaped to promote and justify a globalist agenda and further controls on us, and increasing income opportunities for them."

I would pick one point that the "premise of the book" is to assess, in the years to 1972, as accurately as possible, what the trajectory of human economic exponential growth on a finite planet might proceed to be.

That was the primary objective, and all of the subsequent analysis of what has come to pass shows that it was very accurate, indeed.

That is what the subsequent analysis has been doing, comparing the 1972 projections with updated real data, and to some degree revising future projections. Those revisions can barely be distinguished from the original projections, as you may note in the colorful graphs.

I was in 10th grade when I first learned about this analysis, about February 1974, in Sociology class. The world was experiencing the first oil-shock, the Arab Oil Embargo. We had begun to fight air and water pollution at great cost, but the Hudson River was eventually restored. These costs effectively began to move production and pollution to China, Mexico, and other places where it was cheaper and citizens had fewer legal rights.

This information has always been available to elites and to interested citizens alike.

We are free to make use of it. Deng Xiao Peng read the book and set China on the path to lead in global industrial production before it peaked, for instance.

I have always held this trajectory shown on the graph in mind, tracked it, and it has been tracking accurately. I have invested in a couple of vegetable gardens, a modest house in a small town in the Texas coastal plains, where the weather is seldom fatal, and the gardens produce year-round, good bicycles, which I train on regularly, and a low-burn lifestyle, for an American. I do not have any debts. I am getting Social Security, and do not expect it to last as hard economic times progress.

I am sharing the best information I can get. You are free to choose your path in life...

Yes, there is a lot of waste an inefficiency in modern economy. Some of it can be moderated, so you may do this as I do this, but don't expect to be taken care of much.

This is what is already happening.

Peak oil + condensates looked like the 2019 Repo Crisis and 2020 Bailouts-during-COVID-lockdowns.

What do you think global elites are really doing, when what they say is nonsensical?

Russia, with all those resources-per-capita, and having bottomed around Y2k, is the only major economy which is still able to grow in real terms.

Again, we all have free-will in this universe, and many are seeking to mislead others for their own selfish gain. I am not. I do not even accept donations to this Substack.

Do as you see best for the next 5 years, and see where we all are then.

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Justin's avatar

I happened to see this video in a list of suggested videos to watch. So I did.

And it doesn't paint a pretty picture about populations globally. It's been on a downward slide for a long time, and the decrease is exponential, as explained in this video.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=F6KptpOuo7E

This further supports the notion that we're being fed a load of propaganda (and economic and social forces) to decrease the size of families by invoking anxiety and expenses (with narcissism and anti-family policies abounding).

So we're looking at a number of motives to decrease nuclear families and growth. And I'm looking at psychological efforts as the most prominent (along with an increasingly uncritical populace that has been lulled into letting others take care of them while they live for the moment and not for the long term.)

I'm also hearing big rumblings of massive bee colony collapse - higher than prior years. I fear the chemtrails or SAI (Strospheric Aerosol Injection per the military) are contributing to this, as well as overall poisoning of our food/water supplies. (adjusting my tin-foil hat more tightly). There are anecdonatl stories of personality changes (more hostile) following spraying.

I have been shocked and surprised at the amount of censorship out there around negative factors in our environment, and it's fairly consistent among major media and government organizations.

Consider with the removal from the gold standard and moving towards fiat currency, and coordination of OPEC nations to control oil prices, and many countries adopting tariffs, while the US continued to subsidize them and offshoring major pillars of our nation and security while printing money that is a debt for Americans to pay back (with interest) to bond and treasury investors around the world.

We're heading for a reckoning, and it will be hard. The Cloward-Piven strategy was launched against us to destroy our own civilization and cause chaos with the loss of government services, and ultimately a grab for controlling interest of natural resources to which we'll all have to pay for continued use of.

Lots of conspiracy theories support this. (and I'm not being pejorative here) I believe there are many people working in unison to collectively gather greater wealth and control at the expense of the rest of us.

It's going to be a

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John Day MD's avatar

You have been paying attention. How are you adjusting, yourself?

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Justin's avatar

Trying to help calm people down, speak the truth against the fear porn the media is peddling, encouraging others to stock up and prepare fo bumps in the road, and spreading a message of hope and peace through Jesus Christ. And keep my eyes and ears open to what comes, so I can warn others and help avoid panic,...

And I thank you for your efforts to do the same.

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PFC Billy's avatar

Long before The Limits to Growth was published, post WWII US think tanks analyzed world resource availabilities, extraction costs and global population trends vs. the USA and its future potential for economic growth.

This research was completed & published before the 1960s began and has informed our foreign policy decisions ever since, most definitely figuring in the establishment of USAID, our entry into the Vietnam war and most of our other activities in the third world as well.

Very little has changed from that long ago assessment except to add MORE elements to those required by US economy but NOT available within existing US territories in sufficient & easily extractable form.

Download this PDF for an early 1960s analysis of this and compare the writer's predicted US foreign policy of the future with our present situation:

Scarce Resources: The Dynamic of American Imperialism

Dean, Heather

https://www.nefp.online/_files/ugd/63d11a_136d0855070647ba803e05cea0bc4c83.pdf

Link is located here:

https://www.nefp.online/imperialism

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John Day MD's avatar

M. King Hubbert called peak US oil 1971 in about 1957, as I recall. The math was not so complicated.

Thanks for presenting this view of imperial-planning-ahead.

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SaHiB's avatar

There's plenty of uranium. And yet more thorium. Yet nearly all the mined uranium is wasted, or worse still, converted into DU munition pollution. How about rescinding Jimmy Carter's EO prohibiting reprocessing? Some supplemental fissiles are needed for thorium reactors to be viable.

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John Day MD's avatar

The economics of nuclear power are complicated at every step, and who pays to decommission reactors and long-term-store the waste?

Very complicated...

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