Decision Trees
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Picture yourself as a well-informed owner of the global economy, one of 1000, perhaps, who understands that the global economy, driven mainly by oil, has peaked and is looking at a long decline, The global economic pie will shrink for the rest of your life. A lot of people are entitled to their bits of that pie, and few of them know that it is inexorably shrinking. What do you think you will discuss as an action plan with the other 999 owners at Davos?
Surplus Energy Economics, Project 2050, part one THE END OF MODERNITY AND A RACE TO THE BOTTOM
Wellbefore 2050, what we think of as “modernity” will have come to an end. Governments are going to try to counter this process by driving public debt up to stratospheric levels.
A reasonable interpretation might be that governments know we can’t borrow our way to prosperity, but have no options beyond ‘extend, pretend and distract’.
As you may know, the time horizon of SEEDS projections has been extended by ten years, to 2050. This, as we shall see, captures the final era of modernity...
..There are many versions of the term “modernity”, but we’re going to use an economic definition here.
For our purposes, modernity is a condition in which individuals and societies can afford to spend large sums on discretionary (non-essential) products and services. On this basis, “pre-modernity” societies were ones in which the vast bulk of economic resources had to be used to ensure the supply of necessities.
What the SEEDS time extension is revealing is that this version of modernity will very largely be gone by the end of the 2040s...
..Our first conclusion can only be that it seems abundantly clear that government expenditures – stated in real terms – are already soaring. Interestingly, transfer payments (including benefits and pensions) seem to be rising markedly more rapidly than spending on public services (such as health care, education and defence).
This implies that one reason for the rapid expansion of government spending might be to assist households – and thus minimise dissatisfaction – by providing support as the real costs of necessities carry on rising more rapidly than incomes (see Fig. 1A).
..A picture may be worth a thousand words, but only two emerge from the graphs in Fig. 1.
The first is “QE”, implying that central banks will have to finance an increasing proportion of government largesse with newly-created (“printed”) money. To paraphrase Milton Freidman, ‘excess money creation is always and everywhere inflationary’.
The second word is “crash”. Anticipating what kind of crash, and when, requires a shift of focus from the purely monetary to the material...
..The primary purpose of the economy isn’t to move money around, but to supply material products and services to society.
It does this by using energy to convert raw materials into products, and into those physical artefacts without which services cannot be provided. It cannot be repeated too often that money has no intrinsic worth, but commands value only as a “claim” on these material products and services.
The factors that determine the performance of the real (material) economy are: the supply of energy; its proportionate cost; the quality of the non-energy natural resource base; and the numbers of people between whom economic prosperity is shared...
..The biggest negatives in the “real” economic scene are (a) rising material energy costs, and (b) continuing (though decelerating) growth in the World’s population.
The Energy Costs of Energy are climbing relentlessly, a process which can barely be moderated, let alone reversed, by the expansion of renewables (see Fig. 2A). These renewables have inferior qualities (most notably, lesser energy densities) than fossil fuels, and are fossil-dependent (making raw material demands that can only be met using legacy energy from oil, natural gas and coal).
ECoEs from all sources of energy, having risen from 2% in 1980 to 10.6% now, are likely to reach 13% by 2030, 18% by 2040 and 25% by 2050.
The advanced economies of the West cannot grow their prosperity at ECoEs above 5%, and neither can EM (emerging market) economies carry on expanding when – as is now the case – ECoEs get into double figures.
As producer costs rise and consumer prosperity decreases, aggregate energy supply is likely to contract. But the really big problem is the fast-growing proportion of energy subject to the “first call” on resources made by ECoE (Fig. 2B).
Top-line economic output is starting to inflect from growth into contraction, even as population numbers continue to increase (Fig. 2C). If we add population growth, and the relentless rise in ECoEs, into the equation, global average prosperity per person has already turned down, and this rate of decline can be expected to accelerate (Fig. 2D).
The critical points here are (a) that the economy of today can’t possibly co-exist with ECoEs of 13%, let alone 25%, and (b) that we have nothing that can prevent this surge in ECoEs from happening.
In short, we’re going to get successively less prosperous over time. We can certainly try to manage this process, but we can’t stop it from happening...
..The impending end of modernity (defined as the age of discretionaries) is illustrated in the next set of charts. From here on, just as material prosperity decreases as the fossil fuels era winds down, so the real costs of essentials will carry on rising, primarily because of the high energy-intensity of so many necessities, including housing, transport, distribution and the supply of food and water.
In 2023, estimated essentials accounted for 32% of ,material economic prosperity. This number is projected to rise to 38% by 2030, 52% by 2040 and 79% by 2050 (see Fig. 3B). Discretionaries, as a proportion of global economic resources, actually peaked in 2004, at 49%, and are set to fall to just 17% by 2050... But, with population numbers still increasing, the per capita affordability of discretionary purchases has already turned down (Fig. 3C).
Though global top-line prosperity per capita has long been flat-lining ahead of an unfolding downturn, only now are households starting to experience the ‘pincer effect’ imposed by rises in the real costs of essentials (Fig. 3D).
..For now, though, here are some regional examples of discretionary compression. China can weather this transition better than most, whilst prospects are markedly better for the United States than for the Euro Area. In Britain, the projected costs of essentials actually overtake aggregate material prosperity by the mid-2040s.
What this really means in practice – in the United Kingdom and elsewhere – is that products and services currently regarded as “essential” will revert to the status of “luxuries”. Not even rampant, highly-dangerous debt expansion will enable governments to maintain current levels of public services whilst simultaneously trying to prop up the ability of all their citizens to meet the rising costs of household necessities.
Oil Man Supremo, Art Berman: The End of Growth: Why Oil Prices are Falling [High oil costs make weak businesses fail, lowering demand. Low oil prices shut down rigs.] Paradigms hold on until they can no longer offer believable explanations for what’s happening. Oil markets and the global economy are now in the middle of such a shift... ..On Tuesday September 10, Brent futures price fell to its lowest level in three years as prices dropped more than $12 in fourteen days.
The old paradigm of “inventory deficits” has faded, swiftly replaced by “China weakness.” Ironically, inventory deficits remain as persistent as ever, while serious concerns about China’s economic slowdown have been prevalent for at least the past two years...
..The reality is that weak oil demand has been the main force pushing prices down in recent years, but geopolitical factors—including OPEC production cuts—have repeatedly stepped in to prop them up. The longer geopolitics artificially sustains the market, the more severe the price correction will be once the next crisis fades... ..Transportation is responsible for 60 percent of global oil consumption, and gasoline and diesel account for 54 percent of total petroleum use. Since 2021, the Energy Information Administration(EIA) has been projecting flattening consumption for these refined products... ..It’s difficult to get reliable data on current world consumption by fuel type but the United States is a major exporter and U.S. export data is a good proxy. The amount of crude oil going into U.S refineries has stabilized at more than 1 mmb/d lower than 2018-2019 average levels over the last two years. About half of that decrease is because U.S. consumption is lower, and the rest reflects lower global demand of which the U.S. is a big part—the U.S. uses about 25% of world gasoline and diesel... ..Oil traders are more bearish now than at any point in the history of the Brent futures market. That’s not just noise—it’s a signal you can’t ignore... ..Low supply urgency is the reason oil prices are dropping today, even as inventory levels decline. This is largely due to the slowdown in global economic growth, which goes beyond post-pandemic inflation or rising interest rates.
The globalization of trade and manufacturing, which accelerated in the 1980s, gave a major boost to struggling developed economies. China’s rapid rise was a defining feature of this period, but its growth peaked in 2007.
That was also about the time that U.S. oil, gasoline and diesel consumption reached their maximum levels. U.S oil consumption peaked in 2005 at 20.9 mmb/d. Diesel consumption peaked in 2007 and gasoline in 2017. None have recovered to pre-pandemic levels... ..The global economy has matured. While there are regions where growth remains strong and others just beginning their development, the overall patterns are becoming clearer. It seems increasingly unlikely that we will see another China story—a rapid economic rise on the same scale...
..While world gasoline and diesel consumption continues to rise, its rate of increase is slowing. In fact, data through July suggests that 2024 consumption is likely to be flat with 2023. As critically, world gasoline & diesel per-capita consumption peaked in 2015. That reflects a fundamental demographic shift... ..At its most fundamental level, oil and refined product consumption is directly tied to population growth... In most advanced economies, growth is slowing, and China’s population size has actually declined since 2020... ..The global oil market is undergoing a significant transformation driven by a complex interplay of geopolitical events and shifting market fundamentals. While traditional paradigms have heavily focused on supply and demand metrics, it’s becoming increasingly clear that the influence of geopolitical factors has been consistently underestimated...Geopolitical risks to oil supply and concerns about an overextended and slowing global economy have been the dominant factors shaping oil price trends in the 21st century...
..Paradigms don’t change easily. They’re entrenched, comfortable, and persist until reality can no longer be ignored. Cracks start to show, anomalies pile up, but no one acts—at least not until the situation becomes critical. Only then, when the old model collapses under its own weight, do we see a shift. It’s not a smooth transition; it’s messy and uncomfortable, but the crisis forces us into a new understanding... Analysts and economists continue to force today’s realities into obsolete models. Oil isn’t just a commodity; it’s the foundation of the global economy. It signals where the future is heading. Right now, oil markets are flashing a clear message: the era of growth is over—not just for oil but for the global economy. https://www.artberman.com/blog/the-end-of-growth-why-oil-prices-are-falling/
Caitlin Johnstone points out that it's not "terrorism" when we and our friends kill families. On War Crimes And Western Hypocrisy
The death toll has risen to 12 from Israel’s terror attack in Lebanon on Tuesday which detonated explosive materials hidden in thousands of pagers. Another 20 people were then killed in another attack on Wednesday with a second wave of explosions, this time using walkie talkies and home solar energy systems.
The total death toll now sits at 32. Two children and four healthcare workers are among the dead. Thousands have been injured.
As you would expect, western empire managers are getting really squirmy about this.White House spokesman John Kirby adamantly refused to answer any questions involving Israel’s responsibility for the attacks during a press conference on Wednesday, despite Israel being widely reported as the responsible party, with outlets like The New York Times citing US officials as their source.
Israel bombed a residential block in Gaza. Then drones shot at anyone trying to rescue the survivors
On September 17, the Israeli army bombed a block near the al-Bureij refugee camp, completely destroying seven homes and trapping dozens under the rubble. When rescuers arrived at the scene to help, Israeli drones started firing at them as well. https://mondoweiss.net/2024/09/israel-bombed-a-residential-block-in-gaza-then-drones-shot-at-anyone-trying-to-rescue-the-survivors/
Blind amputees... 22,500 Palestinians Now Have Life-Changing Injuries Due to Israel’s Genocide https://scheerpost.com/2024/09/16/22500-palestinians-now-have-life-changing-injuries-due-to-israels-genocide/
Israel is joining the first global AI convention, here’s why that’s dangerous
Over the last year Israel has weaponized AI in its genocide in Gaza, deploying AI-driven surveillance and automated targeting systems which has killed tens of thousands. Israel’s participation in the first global AI treaty raises serious questions. https://mondoweiss.net/2024/09/israel-is-joining-the-first-global-ai-convention-heres-why-thats-dangerous/
In disturbing escalation against the Palestine movement, UK police arrest journalists and activists under Terrorism Act
In recent weeks, journalists Sarah Wilkinson and Richard Medhurst, as well as Palestine Action co-founder Richard Barnard were all arrested under the the UK's Terrorism Act. Critics say it isa direct attack on the Palestine movement. https://mondoweiss.net/2024/09/in-disturbing-escalation-against-the-palestine-movement-uk-police-arrest-journalists-and-activists-under-terrorism-act/
UN General Assembly Calls for End to Israeli Occupation of Palestinian Territories The UN General Assembly on Wednesday voted overwhelmingly in favor of a resolution calling for an end to Israel’s occupation of the Palestinian territories.
The resolution passed in a vote of 124-14, with 43 nations abstaining. The resolution affirmed an advisory opinion from the International Court of Justice that deemed the Israeli occupation of the West Bank, Gaza, and East Jerusalem to be illegal.
The resolution sets a 12-month timeline for Israeli forces and settlers to leave the occupied territories. However, like the ICJ ruling, the resolution is not legally binding, and the UN has no way of enforcing it. https://news.antiwar.com/2024/09/18/un-general-assembly-calls-for-end-to-israeli-occupation-of-palestinian-territories/
"Such exports breached humanitarian law." Germany has stopped approving war weapons exports to Israel, source says https://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2024/09/19/world/politics/germany-war-weapons-israel/
MBS: No Saudi-Israel normalization until Palestinians get a state
The Kingdom's crown prince throws cold water on Biden’s ‘grand bargain,’ days after Oman does the same https://responsiblestatecraft.org/saudi-normalization-israel/
Iran still holds the counter-attack card. Iran reserves right to self-defense against 'Israel': Pezeshkian During his first press conference since assuming office, the Iranian President says his country is coordinating with its partners to confront "Israel". https://english.almayadeen.net/news/politics/iran-reserves-right-to-self-defense-against--israel---pezesh
Russian President approves proposal to conclude comprehensive strategic partnership with Iran A document published on the official website of legal affairs in Russia stated: "The proposal of the Russian Foreign Ministry, agreed with the interested federal government bodies and organizations, to sign a comprehensive strategic partnership agreement between the Russian Federation and the Islamic Republic of Iran has been accepted." The document refers to a recommendation to sign the agreement at the highest level. https://www.saba.ye/en/news3373612.htm
Iran says it's not from them, so Russian? YAF release footage of hypersonic 'Palestine 2' launch toward Tel Aviv The Yemeni Military Media unit releases footage documenting the Yemeni Armed Forces' launch operation against Tel Aviv, showcasing the "Palestine 2" hypersonic missile deployed in the attack. https://english.almayadeen.net/news/politics/yaf-release-footage-of-hypersonic--palestine-2--launch-towar
YAF publish footage of US MQ-9 Reaper shot down above Dhamar The footage shows the Yemeni air defenses successfully targeting and downing a US MQ-9 drone in Yemen's airspace. https://english.almayadeen.net/news/politics/yaf-publish-footage-of-us-mq-9-reaper-shot-down-above-dhamar
Hal Turner returns us to that "communication" from Russia on a deconfliction channel last week, which George Galloway interviewed Scott Ritter about last weekend. Seventy-two minutes to end the world
Hal Turner, Above-Ground "Incident" (Explosion) in Washington State, "Sends Message" to US - Device passed Right Over Naval Base Bremerton 9/13/2021 The United States Geological Survey reports an "Other Event" caused the equivalent of a Magnitude 2.7 earthquake, 0.8 km ABOVE ground at 09:12 UTC this morning. Word is this "Other Event" was . . . . an explosion -possibly of a Hypersonic missile --sent as "a message" to the Untied States... ..There are mountains in that area where the "other event" took place at a "Depth" of -0.8km. Yes, that's a minus sign in front of the "Depth" meaning the "Other Event" took place above the ground by about 2,624 feet. Some of the mountains in that area ARE that high. So if a missile hit a mountain at that height, the resulting explosion could very well register as a Magnitude 2.7 earthquake "above" ground.
For a frame of reference, when the World Trade Center in New York City collapsed in the attacks of September 11, 2001, seismographs registered the massive collapse as a Magnitude 2.1 "earthquake." So the fact that this "Other Event" registers stronger . . . . as 2.7 . . . . gives readers an idea of how powerful this "other event" actually was.
There is no visual evidence of any Landslide in that area. There is no major snowpack yet, and so there is no sign of any massive Avalanche.
So what caused this "Other Event" as being reported by the US Geological Survey?
Was it a "message" to the USA over its continued meddling in the Russia-Ukraine conflict?
Was it a clear warning from, perhaps, a Russian Submarine, that the US authorizing Ukraine to use West-supplied, long-range, precision missiles against Russia, could result in Russia using missiles against the USA? https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/news-selections/national-news/above-ground-incident-explosion-in-washington-state-sends-message-to-us-device-past-right-over-naval-base-bremerton
That was last Friday, then Turner noted this on this past Monday, 9/16/24: 2:57 PM EDT -- Never Been This Many MILITARY Aircraft in-Flight Over USA As of 2:57 PM eastern US time on September 16, 2024 there are literally HUNDREDS of military aircraft flying over the continental United States(CONUS).
The image above from Ads-B Exchange shows **ONLY** Military Aircraft! ! ! ! ! I am 62 years old and I have never seen this many military in the air in my entire life.
Those of you who think the likelihood of World War 3 is a "nothing burger" or that folks like me who point out where we are heading - right into World War 3 -- somehow makes me "Chicken Little, The Sky is Falling," would do well to wake up and see what is actually taking place.
The US, EU, NATO continue escalating the Russia-Ukraine conflict to the point where Russia has the United Kingdom surrounded by nuclear submarines(Story Here),awaiting orders to attack specific sites in the UK.
At least eleven Russian submarines are off the US East coast(Story Here),as many as nine nuclear-powered cruise missile submarines and 21 diesel-electric attack submarines. off our West Coast from Alaska down to San Diego, CA (Story Here). Several more subs are near the Gulf of Mexico.
Anyone who thinks this is a joke, or just "posturing" is either in emotional "denial" or is simply a fool. https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/news-selections/national-news/2-57-pm-edt-never-been-this-many-military-aircraft-in-flight-over-usa
COINCIDENCE? Both Attempted Assassins of President Trump Were in Blackrock Commercials https://joehoft.com/coincidence-both-attempted-assassins-of-president-trump-were-in-blackrock-commercials/#google_vignette
I think Crooks was a ground level patsy for this shooter, myself: Maxwell Yearick Has Gone Missing Since Trump Rally https://www.caclubindia.com/assets/maxwell-yearick/
17% Say America Would Be Better Off If Trump Had Been Killed Seventeen percent(17%) of voters believe America would have been better off if former President Trump had been killed in last week’s attempted assassination.
That figureincludes 28% of Democratswho say that America would have been better off if Trump had been assassinated.Another 24% of Democrats were not sure.Fewer than half (48%) of Democrats could bring themselves to say that America would not be better off if the opposing party’s candidate for president had been assassinated.
Scott Rasmussen, president of RMG Research, said “It is hard to imagine a greater threat to democracy than expressing a desire to have your political opponent murdered.”
Despite two assassination attempts in two months,just over half of all Democrats (51%) don’t see a need to increase Trump’s security detail.Among all voters, 62% think Trump’s security should be increased and 32% disagree.
Forty-nine percent(49%) of Democrats think it’s at least somewhat likely that Trump himself or the Trump campaign was involved with the assassination attempt,with 21% saying it was very likely. Fifty-two percent(52%) of Republicans think it’s at least somewhat likely that the Democratic Party or the Harris campaign was involved, with 28% saying it’s very likely...
..This Napolitan News Service survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted online by Scott Rasmussen on September 16-17, 2024. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. https://napolitaninstitute.org/2024/09/18/17-say-america-would-be-better-off-if-trump-had-been-killed/
Gilbert Doctorow's March 28, 2022 essay revisits a book he wrote in 2010. Great Post-Cold War American Thinkers on International Relations Considering the results of my dissection of the 1990s and early new millennium writings of the established names in the field, some readers of my book decided that I was insincere in designating them as “great.” However,my yardstick was not the intrinsic value of their writings but the degree of influence they bore across the profession and in the foreign policy community at large. There was little to quibble over my choices.Francis Fukuyama, Samuel Huntington, Zbigniew Brzezinski, Henry Kissinger and Noam Chomsky were all well known to the publicfor several bookshelves of works that have enduring interest up to present. The less well known names in my “big ten” were Joseph Nye, Stanley Hoffmann, G. John Ikenberry and Robert Kagan. They were fillers to give my volume enough bulk. I make no apologies for including them becausethey were still inescapable in 2010 though their residual value today is often negligible. With one exception, of course, Kagan. I would be remiss not to mention thathe is the husband of Victoria Nuland, with whom he shared a Neoconservative world view that he helped to define.
The stronger of the authors in my list were complex thinkers, and it took all of my efforts to get my mind around them to produce a critical analysis, including where they “borrowed” many of their ideas from, what was wrong with the sources and what remained wrong in their reworks. https://gilbertdoctorow.com/2022/03/28/great-post-cold-war-americanthinkers-on-international-relations/
David Hughes, on the time when a new name had to be found for friendly Nazis: The Ukraine Connection Part 3 - The World Anti-Communist League This is the third part of a series on Ukraine’s historical association with Nazism. It is important to understand the history to be able to make sense of developments in the present. The story continues with the World Anti-Communist League.
What did they use to hit this Russian ammo depot at such great distance? "Everything is already burning there": Ukrainian Armed Forces hit a large ammunition depot in the Tver region The press service emphasized that air defense systems continue to repel a "massive drone attack in the skies above the city." The number of UAVs suppressed or destroyed is not specified. https://en.topcor.ru/51657-gorit-tam-uzhe-vse-vsu-porazili-krupnyj-sklad-boepripasov-v-tverskoj-oblasti.html
Zelensky is in a rush, expecting supplies to fall off when Israel invades Lebanon. Ukraine's Zelenskyy says 'victory plan' is ready Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said on Wednesday that his "victory plan," intended to bring peace to Ukraine while keeping the country strong and avoiding all "frozen conflicts," is now complete after much consultation.
Zelenskyy pledged last month to present his plan to U.S. President Joe Biden, presumably next week when he attends sessions of the U.N. Security Council and General Assembly. While providing daily updates on the plan's preparation, He has given few clues of the contents, indicating only that it aims to create terms acceptable to Ukraine, now locked in conflict with Russia for more than 2½ years. https://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2024/09/19/world/ukraine-zelenskyy-victory-plan/
Fyodor Lukyanov: Here’s the real reason why the US sanctioned RT
Washington’s extreme reaction is due to panic at the fact that it’s losing its monopoly on global media At a meeting with US President Ronald Reagan in Iceland, USSR leader Mikhail Gorbachev raised the issue. He said “your radio station Voice of America broadcasts around the clock in many languages from stations you have in different countries in Europe and Asia, and we can’t present our point of view to the American people. So, for the sake of equality, we have to jam the Voice of America broadcasts.” Gorbachev offered to stop blocking ‘VOA’ if his counterpart agreed to let Moscow have a frequency to do the same in the US. Reagan evasively promised to consult when he returned home. In the end, the Soviets stopped jamming foreign radio stations unilaterally, without any deal...
..At their meeting in Iceland, Reagan countered Gorbachev’s appeal by saying that, unlike the Soviets, “we recognize freedom of the press and the right of people to listen to any point of view.” The US president had no doubts about the superiority of the American system in all respects. Accordingly, the demands for information pluralism, then and later, reflected the confidence of Washington that it would emerge victorious from any competition. And so, after a few years, the US achieved a de-facto monopoly on the interpretation of everything.
Washington’s current extreme reaction is due to the feeling that it’s losing this monopoly. Alternative interpretations of events now arouse public interest. In fact, the total resources of the Western, mainly English-language media are incomparably greater than what all the carriers of alternative points of view can offer, at this moment. But internal insecurity is growing all by itself, fueling the desire to fence off the information space.
From the same US playbook comes attempts to explain internal strife and accumulated contradictions in America by pointing to a pernicious external influence. This was also the Soviet experience. However, the USSR didn’t solve its own issues by blaming them on external causes. https://swentr.site/news/604221-us-losing-monopoly-sanctions-rt/
New Report: State Department Funded Fact-checkers to Censor ‘Lawful Speech’
The U.S. government’s actions fueled “a censorship ecosystem” that suppressed people’s First Amendment rights and made it difficult for some certain small independent media outlets to compete online.
The U.S. Department of State-funded domestic and international fact-checking entities that censored American independent media outlets and social media users who questioned the Biden administration’s COVID-19 and other policies, according to a congressional report.
The report by the U.S. House of Representatives Committee on Small Business stated:
“The Federal government has funded, developed, and promoted entities that aim to demonetize news and information outlets because of their lawful speech.”
The government’s actions fueled “a censorship ecosystem” that suppressed “individuals’ First Amendment rights” and “the ability of certain small businesses to compete online.”
The report focused on the State Department’s Global Engagement Center (GEC), which promoted and funded “tech start-ups and other small businesses in the disinformation detection space … with domestic censorship capabilities.” https://childrenshealthdefense.org/defender/state-department-fact-check-social-media-censorship-funding-report/
X update allows app to bypass Brazil ban: Internet providers
RIO DE JANEIRO, Brazil: Elon Musk’s X social network carried out an automatic update on phone applications that allowed it to bypass a ban in Brazil, an association of Internet providers said Wednesday.
Some Brazilian users were surprised to have access again to the platform, formerly Twitter, from their phones Wednesday after a Supreme Court judge last month ordered its shutdown in a bitter legal standoff with Musk.
The Brazilian Association of Internet and Telecommunications Providers (ABRINT) explained that the return of X was due to an update of the app to Cloudflare software that uses constantly changing IP addresses. The previous system used specific IPs, which act like a home address for servers or computers and could be more easily blocked. https://www.arabnews.com/node/2571949/media
Meryl Nass MD, via Door To Freedom: In 10 points, what does the Pact for the Future tell us? https://doortofreedom.org/in-10-points-what-does-the-pact-for-the-future-tell-us-2/
Meryl Nass MD worked on "Constitution Day": Yesterday House Republicans gave a press conference about the UN and WHO's efforts to grab our sovereignty How much MSM coverage of the UN Summit of the Future have you seen?
What if regulation gets sloppy? Depressed? Is Assisted Suicide right for You? UK: Starmer to “Rush Through” Assisted Suicide Legislation https://europeanconservative.com/articles/news/uk-starmer-to-rush-through-assisted-suicide-legislation/
England: Outrage as Judge Blocks ‘Grooming Gang’ Victim From Calling for Rapists’ Deportation A survivor of a rape gang was prevented in court from calling for two of her abusers to be deported. Seven men from predominantly Pakistani backgrounds in Rotherham were convicted of offences committed between April 2003 and April 2008.
As the case in South Yorkshire was concluding, the unnamed woman read out her ‘victim impact statement,’ legal paperwork intended not as evidence but to assist the judge in sentencing. GB News, the sole UK national broadcaster to cover the trial, saw an unredacted version of the document which had a key section removed from her closing remarks—under official duress... ..Groomed from the age of 11, the woman faced her seven abusers in court as they were sentenced to a total of 106 years imprisonment. Two of them were singled out for specific attention in the original version of the victim statement:
I’d like to request that after sentencing and upon Rudy [Mohammed Amar, 42] and Showabe [Mohammed Siyab, 49]’s release, that they should be deported back to Pakistan as this is where they originated from and came here to exploit children. Thank you.
This recommendation was removed under the orders of a judge. Barrister Matthew Bean. https://europeanconservative.com/articles/news/england-outrage-as-judge-blocks-grooming-gang-victim-from-calling-for-rapists-deportation/
Celia Farber has follow-up: Alexis Lorenze's Life Hanging In The Balance After Horrific Reaction That Began 10 Minutes After Three Vaccines Given At Once; Being Neglected And Gaslit, Denied Help, At UCI Irvine Medical Center She Is Asking People To Share Her Story
Peter McCullough MD points out that the less you have had spike protein in your blood the better. Anti-Spike Antibodies Among Vaccinated Predict Major Adverse Events after Myocardial Infarction, Lab Test Indirectly Implicates Spike as Cause of Complications after Heart Attack
mRNA COVID "vaccines" suppress the immune surveillance against cancer. Top Oncologist Raises Alarm: Every New Cancer Patient Is Under 45 https://www.globalresearch.ca/new-cancer-patient-under-45/5867952
From Turbo Cancer to Turbo Alzheimer's Disease: The Never-Ending Adverse Events of the "Vaccinated"
"Yes", for so many reasons: Is being vaccinated by spike mRNA gene therapy shots at large indoor clinics treacherous? Was there any Informed Consent on this Issue?
Dry trees call for rain. Climate Water Project, Hormonal metaphors for rain and climate : Bioprecipitation III, Signaling systems, terpenes, aerosols, and cloud creation
The idea that plants and trees seed clouds and airborne water droplets was first proposed by Frits Went, a Dutch biologist. At Caltech university, in Los Angeles, he constructed some of the first greenhouses that could simulate different climates, with which he could study the behavior of plant emissions and aerosols.He pondered the origin of the blue haze that graced certain mountain ranges. In 1960, he proposed thatblue hazes occur in places abundant in terpenes, such as the Blue Ridge Mountains of Appalachia, where terpene-rich coniferous oaks thrive. The terpenes react to form aerosols that seed tiny water droplets that hang in the air, scattering light into the blue part of the spectrum...
..An experimental measurement of terpenes turning into aerosols was made in 1978 by Dennis Schuetzle, an environmental engineer, who found limonene, a terpene responsible for the citrus smell of fruits, reacting with ozone to produce aerosols.
In the 1970s, meteorologists conducted extensive research on aerosols and their impact on climate. Scientists researched how aerosols would impact the temperature of the earth, and how pollution circulated the earth’s atmosphere. But then in the 1980s interest in aerosols dropped, as climate scientists became much more interested in the carbon greenhouse effect.
Some scientists did continue to look at aerosols though. James Lovelock, who was working on his Gaia theory about how the earth behaved in ways similar to a living organism, proposed a provocative theory about how aerosols could help the earth self-regulate its temperature, in a similar way to how organisms could self-regulate their body temperatures. He, along with the atmospheric scientist Ray Charlson, proposed a feedback mechanism. As the planet warmed, algae would bloom more in the oceans. Since algae release into the air a sulfur aerosol called DMS that helps to seed clouds, then with more algae, more clouds would form, which would then cool the planet, and return it to its baseline temperature...
..Paul Crutzen, who won a Nobel Prize for his work on ozone hole, and who also did work on terpenes and aerosols, wrote with the biogeochemist Meinrat Andrae about how in the 1990s“Scientific interest in the climatic role of aerosols was rekindled after the proposal of a link between marine biogenic aerosols and global climate"...
..In the 1990s and the new millenia, scientists continued to decipher the connection between terpenes and clouds.
The molecular structure of terpenes gives it a volatility that enable it to metamorphize into new structures that attract water vapor molecules to nucleate on them. This molecular structure has the grouping of five carbon atoms and eight hydrogen atoms... Terpenes belong to a category of molecules called BVOC’s( Biogenic Volatile Organic Compounds). Depending on atmospheric molecular concentrations, humidity, and temperature, the terpenes will undergo different biochemical pathways to turn into different types of aerosols with different water attraction properties...
..As research progressed, it became clearer that the huge amounts of terpenes forests of were releasing into the atmosphere, were creating enough second order aerosols that they were significantly affecting global cloud production. For example the small clouds/fog that hangs just above forests are often seeded from terpenes...
..Christopher Pöhlker, a doctoral student at the Max Planck Institute for Chemistry, led a study there in the Amazon in the 2010s. Working on a tower 80m up in the sky overlooking canopies of biodiverse green, his team collected samples of aerosols. Then peering through scanning electron microscopes, they made a surprising discovery. The aerosols contained potassium. The aerosols had two parts: a core containing potassium-rich salts and a gel-like coating made of volatile organic compounds derived from terpenes. It was a mystery why there should be potassium in the core. Then inspiration hit as the scientists realized that fungi use water containing potassium salts to launch spores into the sky. The potassium salts could, once in the air, then attract terpene-derived molecules onto them [Pöhlker 2012]. They had discovered the symbiotic poetry of fungi partnering with trees to make clouds...
..Terpenes may play a role in helping regulate global warming. Moa Sporre, a physicist, modelled the feedback process of terpenes and other BVOC’s (Biogenic Volatile Organic Compounds) to understand how they might help the climate self-regulate. The feedback process is reminiscent of the one Lovelock proposed for algae.When trees get hot and stressed, they release more terpenes.World-wide temperature rises means more terpenes. More terpenes means more clouds, which help cool the planet again. Sporre found this feedback loop helps significantly reduce global warming...
..This is reminiscent to me of how signalling molecules work in the bodies of organisms. For instance a hormone molecule is a signalling molecule that can trigger a much larger cascade of reactions in a cell, when it lands on the cell membrane receptors. The endocrine system releases different hormones to regulate blood sugar, or energy production. The existence of messenger molecules means organisms can regulate bodily functions without a large expenditure of energy. The existence of bio-aerosols means the earth can regulate its functions - providing the right amount of heat and water to its lifeforms - without a huge expenditure of energy. When systems get complex enough, they begin to develop a language and a messaging/signalling system. The endocrine system using hormones is an example of a messaging/signalling system.
Surprisingly, there exists a kind of universal language and messaging system across different species and kingdoms. You might think that fungi, the bacteria, the animals, the plants, would each only evolve a language for their own kingdom. But no, they have a universal language. That language is the language of terpenes. Nature uses terpenes to communicate and self-organize. Plants give off certain terpenes (odors) to attract pollinators, and different terpenes to warn other plants about attacking herbivores and insects. Ant colonies organize into a superorganism, not via one leader ant giving top-down instructions of what every ant should be doing, but rather with a bottom up system of messages that every ant can send. Their messages are written in the language of terpenes...
..So the molecules which regulate bodily functions are also related to the molecule that regulate atmospheric functions. If the earth behaves with a physiology similar to that of a living organism, as Lovelock’s Gaia hypothesis suggests, then perhaps the Earth has an endocrine-like system that sends hormone-like messenger molecules to regulate its global functions, such as temperature and water regulation, coordinating itself through a messaging system written in the language of terpenes.
Communing With Our Environment (Pictured fixed-gear bike climbing a hill in Palestine jersey)
"In short, we’re going to get successively less prosperous over time. We can certainly try to manage this process, but we can’t stop it from happening..." well this is why death and tyranny are sold as the solution. Redistribute bottom up the existing wealth. Share amongst the .001% and grow a Successor state..
You're looking great! One thing that is interesting is that I have never agreed with you about peak oil per say as I think there is likely zero point energy sources which could be harnessed to make a transition, BUT I agree with you fully about the implications of a simpler life where much less discretionary income is spent on non necessities. Is there a reason for constant expansion beyond the hypothetical money supply one?
What I'm becoming fascinated by is the implications of MMT (modern monetary theory aka print however much you want to) with UBI (Universal Basic Income-Bread and Circuses) against the backdrop of depopulation, which is deflationary. I'm still trying to wrap my head around those things...