Failure Modes
Contingency Planners,
Economist Martin Armstrong warns Trump, Devalued Dollar Will Crash the DOW Armstrong is going to write President Trump a letter warning him NOT to force the US dollar lower.
How is the war picture shaping up now that Trump, who wants to be a “peacemaker,” is in office? Armstrong says, “You have French President Macron saying he wants to send troops into Ukraine. Britain has just now sent 20,000 or 30,000 troops into Romania. They want war. They are basically on the verge of a sovereign debt crisis. So, they have a choice. They default and say, oh sorry, we screwed up. Or, it’s not us, it’s Putin. We have to go get him. The German government fell the very next day after Trump was elected. You see this going on all over Europe.”
In closing, Armstrong sees gold (and silver) going up from here. The US is still the strongest economy by far, but Armstrong’s computer program “Socrates” sees a global recession no later than 2028. Socrates also sees the possibility of “war as early as April or May of 2025.” Armstrong tells President Trump, “Get out of NATO–ASAP.” https://www.theburningplatform.com/2025/01/26/devalued-dollar-will-crash-the-dow/
David Stockman looks at specifics of cutting $2 Trillion from the Federal Budget and advocates for it. America’s Fiscal Doomsday Machine Must Be Stopped https://brownstone.org/articles/americas-fiscal-doomsday-machine-must-be-stopped/
Renewable energy sources require oil wells and mines to renew. When Renewables Meet Their Limits to Growth While the power of the sun and the wind remains practically limitless, the resources required to build the many essential — but completely non-recyclable — components of wind turbines and solar panels is not. Let’s take two examples: wind turbine blades and polysilicon solar cells. Turbine blades are made of a composite material: a combination of fiber glass (made by burning natural gas) and epoxy resin (produced directly from crude oil and natural gas liquids). Likewise, polysilicon cells used in solar panels are made by smelting quartz crystals with coal, producing at least two CO2 molecules for every Silicone atom released from its original form (SiO2). Again, focus your attention not (only) on carbon emissions, but the basic fact that both resin making and silicone manufacturing requires large amounts of carbon atoms due to their unique chemical properties and broad-scale availability... Were it not for coal, oil and gas, we would have to cut down entire forests to make a few solar panels and turbine blades. What’s worse, we would be poised to repeat this decade after decade as old panels and turbines fail and must be replaced... On top of their carbon-intensive nature both epoxy resin and poly-crystalline silicone wafers are unrecyclable... ..The super-low energy density of “renewables” necessitate their dispatch in absolutely staggering quantities, with all the mining, logistics, smelting, manufacturing and building involved. Many of these activities — especially the making of steel, copper, concrete and glass — require high temperatures (well above a 1000°C), and thus necessitates the burning of high energy density fuels (coal, oil and natural gas). This is why “renewables” cannot technically be built and deployed at scale by using “renewable” energy alone.
Charles Hugh Smith ponders, Is DeepSeek a Sputnik Moment? I'm not sure that "software will eat the world," but it could consume the stock market bubble in a single gulp. The shockwaves generated by a Chinese company's release of a suite of AI tools called DeepSeek last week may well rival the Sputnik shock, as the DeepSeek AI tools appear to meet the same benchmarks as AI tools such as those issued by OpenAI and other companies, but requiring far less computing resources.
DeepSeek achieves its capabilities not from expensive hardware (processors) but from advances in software that can be used on smartphones. The software innovations embedded in DeepSeek have profound financial implications for the companies that manufacture the costly processors needed by conventional AI data centers--Nvidia is the dominant chipmaker in this market--and the Big Tech companies spending billions of dollars (called capex in the financial realm, short for capital expenditures) to create AI tools that they can eventually sell via the subscription model.
DeepSeek software evaporates 1) the need for super-energy-hungry, super-expensive processors, 2) vast quantities of electricity and 3) the market for paid subscription AI tools, as DeepSeek's software runs on standard processors and it's been released as open-source software which can be downloaded and run offline on local resources such as PCs or smartphones.
DeepSeek May Trigger "Negative Capex Impact" As Peak Data Center Occupancy Forecast Faces Revision The news of the (extremely) cheaper Chinese DeepSeek response to OpenAI's ChatGPT—allegedly "40-50x more efficient than other large language models," according to Goldman's Rich Privorotsky—has triggered a global selloff across the entire AI ecosystem.
The selloff spans chip designers, AI firms, semiconductor equipment manufacturers, AI data center companies, and "Powering Up" baskets tracked by Goldman. https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/deepseek-may-trigger-negative-capex-impact-peak-data-center-forecasts-face-revision
No answer; just the question: Is "Cheap AI" A Black Swan Event? https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/cheap-ai-black-swan-event
Russia's Sputnik, China Drops Powerful AI Model That’s Free, Fast and Better for Humanity Than Silicon Valley Rivals The Hangzhou-based tech startup’s new model beats OpenAI’s o1 on math and reasoning benchmarks, and blows Meta’s* Llama 3.1 and OpenAI’s GPT-40 out of the water in coding and complex problem-solving.
The model is free to run locally, with access to its API priced at a fraction of competitors’ rates.
The setup reportedly cost $5.6 million to train (vs $78 million for GPT-40), and uses performance-capped chips due to US restrictions, which also saw the use ban the delivery of more powerful processers to China. https://sputnikglobe.com/20250126/china-drops-powerful-ai-model-thats-free-fast-and-better-for-humanity-than-silicon-valley-rivals-1121502542.html
Was Open AI Whistleblower in good spirits "suicided". Police declared "suicide" in 40 minutes, but crime scene findings, parents and second autopsy dispute that. Bombshell crime scene photos that cast doubt on whether whistleblower committed suicide https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-14309173/Suchir-Balaji-whistleblower-death-suicide-murder-Sam-Altman-crime-scene-photos-Los-Angeles.html
And what might become of that $500 Billion "Stargate" project? Kyle Young, Trumps Transhumanist Technocracy Among the many Executive Orders that Trump signed in his first days in office was one to ban Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDC’s). While this may sound like good news, it’s nothing more than a distraction. While Trumps plan may take control of digital currencies away from the Bank for International Settlements, it does nothing to prevent digital currencies issued by other sources from being trackable and/or cancelable in the same way CBDC’s would have been. Donald Trump, RFK Jr, Howard Lutnik (appointed by Trump to be Sec. of Commerce), Musk, Theil, Ramaswamy, Ellison, numerous other politicians on both the left and the right, as well as just about every transhumanist/technocratic billionaire has endorsed digital currency. Why? Partly because its use can also be linked to an implanted digital tracking device. Even without a tracking device, the use of digital currency tells the issuer about every purchase you make, including when and where you made it. If you do or say something that the issuer of the digital currency you’re using doesn’t like, your ability to buy food, fuel, clothing or anything else can been revoked. If you didn’t get the latest vaccine that Bill Gates or Larry Ellison want you to get, your right to medical treatment could be revoked and your digital currency denied.
He'd never do this to US! Trump calls for moving Palestinians to Egypt, Jordan to ‘clean out’ Gaza https://www.presstv.ir/Detail/2025/01/26/741623/Trump-suggests-Egypt-and-Jordan-accept-more-refugees
Arab League says any plan to uproot Palestinians from Gaza would be ‘ethnic cleansing’ https://www.arabnews.com/node/2587935/middle-east
Palestine’s authorities reject idea of displacing Palestinians from Gaza Strip
"We emphasize that the Palestinian people will never abandon their land or their holy sites," the Palestinian presidential administration said https://tass.com/world/1904475
Israel destroys only water desalination plant in northern Gaza The assessment revealed serious technical malfunctions in the electrical and electromechanical components of all the plant’s operations stages and units. Moreover, the occupation completely destroyed some of the plant’s main components, which led to the destruction of five seawater supply wells, the plant’s intake pipeline, two power generators, a pump and a return water line, as well as the destruction of the external fences and output pumps. https://www.middleeastmonitor.com/20250125-israel-destroys-only-water-desalination-plant-in-northern-gaza/
US ends pause on supplying 2,000-pound bombs to Israel: Axios
Citing 2 Israeli officials, online outlet says US to deliver 1,800 MK-84 bombs to Israel in coming days https://www.aa.com.tr/en/americas/us-ends-pause-on-supplying-2-000-pound-bombs-to-israel-axios/3462438
2-year-old Palestinian girl new victim of Israel in West Bank Palestinian news agency WAFA, citing the Palestine Red Crescent Society (PRCS), identified the victim as Laila Muhammad Ayman al-Khatib, noting that she was two and a half years old.
According to the ministry, Laila died from critical wounds after she was shot in the head with live ammunition by Israeli soldiers in Muthalath Ash-Shuhada village, located 5 kilometers (3.1 miles) southwest of the city of Jenin. https://en.mehrnews.com/news/227458/2-year-old-Palestinian-girl-new-victim-of-Israel-in-West-Bank
'Graveyards for the living’: Freed Palestinian prisoner exposes inhumane conditions in Israeli jails https://www.middleeastmonitor.com/20250126-graveyards-for-the-living-freed-palestinian-prisoner-exposes-inhumane-conditions-in-israeli-jails/
‘Thank you to Al-Qassam Brigades for the good treatment’: Released Israeli soldiers says to Hamas’ armed wing fighters Al-Qassam Brigades, Hamas armed wing, released a video Saturday that showed four Israeli female soldiers who were freed earlier in the day, expressing gratitude in Arabic to Palestinian factions for their humane treatment during their captivity and for safeguarding their lives despite intense Israeli bombings. https://www.aa.com.tr/en/middle-east/-thank-you-to-al-qassam-brigades-for-the-good-treatment-released-israeli-soldiers-says-to-hamas-armed-wing-fighters/3462519
Qatar mediates agreement between Hamas, Israel for return of displaced Gazan residents beginning Monday
Hamas will hand over hostage Arbel Yehud, two other hostages by Friday, says Qatari Foreign Ministry https://www.aa.com.tr/en/middle-east/qatar-mediates-agreement-between-hamas-israel-for-return-of-displaced-gazan-residents-beginning-monday/3463399
Israeli forces continue assault on Jenin for fifth day The Israeli regime continues its large-scale raid on the city of Jenin and its refugee camp. On Saturday, regime forces attacked and burned several Palestinian houses. The raids that began on Tuesday have so far left over a dozen Palestinians dead and forced 1,800 residents to evacuate the camp. https://www.presstv.ir/Detail/2025/01/26/741601/Israeli-forces-Jenin-assault
Stunning Images Show Tens Of Thousands Of Gazans Returning To Destroyed Homes On Foot https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/stunning-images-show-tens-thousands-gazans-returning-destroyed-homes-foot
Israeli forces have opened fire at the Lebanese people returning to their homes in the country’s southern towns, killing at least 22 people and wounding 124 others. https://www.presstv.ir/Detail/2025/01/26/741616/Israeli-fire-injures-civilians-Lebanon
Craig Murray, Industrial scale looting by the IDF. Televisions, satellite receivers, sound systems, gen set all gone here. Same true in thousands of demolished homes in Khiam. Met neighbours same plus all their antique carpet collection gone. Vast scale must involve miltary transport. Much lower level looting by Russian army in Ukraine got massive coverage in MSM. I have never seen Israeli looting mentioned once there. https://x.com/CraigMurrayOrg/status/1883747222241914881?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1883747222241914881%7Ctwgr%5Efcddba7b5caeaa284e67b76d88ed3083fe67f931%7Ctwcon%5Es1_&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.nakedcapitalism.com%2F2025%2F01%2Flinks-1-27-2025.html
White House announces extension of Lebanon-'Israel' ceasefire deal https://english.almayadeen.net/news/politics/white-house-announces-extension-of-lebanon--israel--ceasefir
Ready to Finish Off Hezbollah: U.S. Replenishing Israel’s Iron Dome and Bunker Buster Bomb Supplies https://militarywatchmagazine.com/article/ready-finish-off-hezbollah-replenishing-israel-iron-dome-bunker-buster
Meet the new bosses, HTS: Syria monitor says 35 people summarily executed in three days https://www.arabnews.com/node/2587937/middle-east
Now that Russian air defenses are out of Syria: Signs of Israeli arms supplies to Ukraine emerge https://en.topcor.ru/56023-pojavilis-priznaki-postavok-izrailem-oruzhija-ukraine.html
Simplicius with the unacceptable-to-Russia Ukrainian-leaked "peace plan": Velyka Novosilka Falls Without Fight, as '100 Day Peace Plan' Reportedly "Leaked"
Armchair Warlord presents a guess at the Russian unacceptable peace plan: A more realistic peace plan, taking into account the minimum acceptable Russian position (as otherwise the war will simply continue), in Fourteen Points https://x.com/ArmchairW/status/1883697665931874746?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1883697665931874746%7Ctwgr%5Efcddba7b5caeaa284e67b76d88ed3083fe67f931%7Ctwcon%5Es1_&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.nakedcapitalism.com%2F2025%2F01%2Flinks-1-27-2025.html
US officials pushing to unfreeze aid for Ukraine – Financial Times The outlet claims that Rubio’s order endangers support for the development of Ukrainian infrastructure, energy, and economy projects, while not affecting American military assistance. The FT quotes an unnamed Ukrainian government official as saying that “military aid to Ukraine is intact. At least as of now, and it is certainly not part of this 90-day freeze.”
The pause in US foreign development aid was announced by President Trump on Monday, just hours after his inauguration. The freeze aims to review the effectiveness and alignment of aid with US foreign policy objectives. https://swentr.site/news/611659-us-officials-urge-unfreeze-ukraine-aid/
Three Boeing 747s loaded with U.S. weapons land near Ukraine Three Boeing 747 transport planes from USTRANSCOM landed at Poland’s Rzeszów-Jasionka airport this weekend...
..The delivery of this aid was planned to be completed before the inauguration of Donald Trump, who announced a 90-day suspension of military aid to Ukraine upon taking office. However, the arrival of the three Boeing 747s with weaponry is a part of Biden’s last directives and was not affected by Trump’s new ban on military assistance. https://bulgarianmilitary.com/2025/01/26/three-boeing-747s-loaded-with-u-s-weapons-land-near-ukraine/
Belarusian President: Poland prepares for intervention in Belarus Poland is preparing for an intervention on Belarusian territory, Belarusian President Aleksandr Lukashenko stated on January 26 during a press conference after casting his vote in the country’s presidential election.
Lukashenko noted that Poland has territorial claims on western Belarus, extending as far as Minsk. In addition to its aggressive stance towards Minsk and preparation for intervention, Warsaw is also training Belarusian opposition members, the president added.
He stressed that Poland would not receive “even a meter” of Belarusian land. https://eu.eot.su/2025/01/26/belarusian-president-poland-prepares-for-intervention-in-belarus/
Poland, Please Note: Belarus to get Russian Oreshnik shortly – Lukashenko
The intermediate-range ballistic missile system will be deployed in the country within days, the president has said.
“We will have the Oreshnik literally any day now. We have agreed with President Vladimir Putin that the next system will be delivered to Belarus even earlier than to Russia,” he said. https://www.rt.com/russia/611658-belarus-oreshnik-missile-lukashenko/
Belarusian peacekeepers ‘best option’ for Ukraine – Lukashenko
Only they can maintain “normal relations” between Moscow and Kiev, the Belarusian president has said https://swentr.site/russia/611675-belarusian-peacekeepers-best-option-ukraine/
Lukashenko re-elected for seventh term
Derided in the West as a dictator, the Belarusian president has said his leadership brings “stability and security” https://www.rt.com/russia/611670-lukashenko-re-elected-poll/
Trump Applies Heavy Pressure on Denmark for the Ownership of Greenland, Leaving Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen and Her Government in Full ‘Crisis Mode’ https://discernreport.com/trump-applies-heavy-pressure-on-denmark-for-the-ownership-of-greenland-leaving-prime-minister-mette-frederiksen-and-her-government-in-full-crisis-mode/
Location, location, location and mineral resources: Why Greenland Matters: US Strategy In The Changing Arctic https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/why-greenland-matters-us-strategy-changing-arctic
Which Country Could Buy Greenland? Spoiler: It’s Not the US Under the terms of an agreement made over a century ago, Denmark would have to give the UK the right of first refusal if it ever decided to sell Greenland, noted Tom Hoyem, former Danish minister for Greenland... “If Trump tried to buy Greenland, he would have to ask London first,” Hoyem explained, adding: “The United Kingdom demanded in 1917 that if Greenland were to be sold, the UK would have the first right to buy it.” https://sputnikglobe.com/20250126/which-country-could-buy-greenland-spoiler-its-not-the-us-1121498417.html
President Donald Trump on Saturday said he has halted any new hires of Internal Revenue Service (IRS) agents.
“They hired—were trying to hire 88,000 new workers to go with you, and we’re in the process of developing a plan to either terminate all of them or maybe we move them to the border,” Trump remarked at a speech in Nevada, while also saying, “On day one, I immediately halted the hiring of any new IRS agents.
“I think we’re going to move them to the border where they are allowed to carry guns. You know, they’re so strong on guns. But these people are allowed to carry guns. So we will probably move them to the border,” he said. https://www.zerohedge.com/political/trump-says-he-immediately-halted-hiring-new-irs-agents
Deep-state RINOs really loathe Tulsi Gabbard: Gabbard’s path through Intelligence Committee narrows ahead of key hearing https://thehill.com/homenews/5106082-tulsi-gabbard-intelligence-committee-hearing/
"Limited hangout" is the term: New CIA boss Ratcliffe says Biden-era report backing lab-leak theory released to 'restore' trust CIA spokesperson previously told Fox News the agency made the assessment with 'low confidence' https://www.foxnews.com/media/new-cia-boss-ratcliffe-says-biden-era-report-backing-lab-leak-theory-released-restore-trust
That is 256X as much MISC in kids who got the "vaccine products", which did not protect them. 5-11 year olds with PRR@245 for MISC and 165 for COVID-19 I am in disbelief at how high those signals are. 245.56 for Multisystem Inflammatory Syndrome (MISC) in children? This is a rare condition so why is the safety signal so high in the context of the COVID-19 shots? ..MIS-C has varied symptoms that affect several organs and systems in the body. Many children have symptoms resembling toxic shock syndrome or Kawasaki disease, in which the coronary arteries enlarge or form aneurysms. Also common are heart inflammation with impaired heart function and low blood pressure, rash or red eyes, and gastrointestinal symptoms... ..Interesting that the Mayo Clinic, to this day, is recommending these shots that are PROVEN by the CDC to be associated with MISC in 5-11 year olds as per their PRR calculation of 245.56.
Meryl Nass MD explains the "Anything But Vaccines" narrative: It isn't due to vaccines. Now shut up and go home. Wash your mouth out with soap. Don't ever let me hear such things from you again!--vaccine injuries being the first medical subject to be powerfully cancelled
EPA to Appeal Federal Court’s Landmark Ruling on Fluoride
Attorneys for the EPA late last week said the agency will appeal the September federal court ruling requiring it to regulate fluoride in water. Judge Edward Chen of the U.S. District Court for the Northern District of California ruled last year that water fluoridation at current levels in the U.S. poses an “unreasonable risk” of reducing IQ in children. https://childrenshealthdefense.org/defender/epa-appeal-federal-court-fluoride-landmark-ruling/
Pierre Kory MD, The History and Therapeutic Mechanisms Of Chlorine Dioxide Chlorine dioxide was discovered over 200 years ago. It's use has steadily expanded into many industries and therapeutic applications despite a near global regulatory blockade on clinical research... ..NASA actually referred to chlorine dioxide as “A Universal Antidote” back in 1988 (p.118 from this Annual Report), where these statements appear:
The special properties of the Alcidem formulation, which has been approved by U.S. regulatory authorities, enable it to destroy mold and fungus, as well as bacteria and viruses, with minimal harm to humans, animals or plants
NERAC conducted a computer search of more than a dozen databases and uncovered scores of applications, among them treatment of viral, fungal and bacterial infections in animals; treatment of human skin diseases; disinfection and sterilization of medical facilities;
The University of Connecticut Medical School is studying the effects of the Alcide compound on human wound healing and scar tissue suppression.
At Israel's Hebrew University Dental School, trials are in progress on a plaque reducing mouthwash and in England researchers are meeting success in human clinical trials of treating herpes and other sexually transmitted diseases.
I cannot over emphasize the importance of the above NASA document from 1988. In it, they admit that it treats a broad range of infections in animals, aids in wound healing (I have a lot on that later), and was having success in treating herpes and other STD’s. Never forget this when you read statements from regulatory agencies across the world where they repeatedly warn that it is a “toxic bleach,” “bleach like substance,” and is “dangerous for ingestion.” Absurd...
..Kalker argues in his mechanisms of action post here (where I paraphrase for brevity): "chlorine dioxide transports oxygen to all parts of the body where water is present. The bound oxygen dissociates in the presence of excess protons in areas of disease (like spike protein). The released oxygen optimizes the saturation of hemoglobin in the red blood cell and thus improves oxygen delivery to the most acidic cells and their compromised mitochondria first, while the chlorine ion (not chloride) eliminates pathogens or acidic toxins and restores pH balance. This improvement in cellular oxygenation is thought to be yet another positive therapeutic mechanism for reversing disease"...
..The therapeutic uses for chlorine dioxide are endless. And therein lies the problem. Stay tuned for my upcoming post which compiles the studies and trials in a diverse set of human diseases.
Physicist Anastassia Makarieva on climate models all being black boxes in computers: Warming, cooling, or we don't know?
What to ask your climate scientist friend about the water cycle and global temperature
Planetary Life Form (preparing some collard greens I just picked)
Commercialism and Materialism will destroy the entire world. Human beings use resources without thought...buying all kinds of unnecessary products, which they simply toss into the trash. People need to focus on their NEEDS, which are food, clothing and shelter; and NOT their desire for all kinds of products, which rob the earth of resources if people want a future for their children, and their children's children, they can't continue using up the planet''s resources thoughtlessly.
What role is NATO playing in Poland?
Thank you John.