Another Morning After
Still Breathing,
Israelis Leave Shelters After Iranian Attack Of 180 Ballistic Missiles; IDF Says Preparing To Hit Back Summary:
Iran says its action is concluded "unless the Israeli regime decides to invite further retaliation."
Prime Minister Netanyahu says Iran made a big mistake tonight and will pay for it.
Common estimates show the attack on Israel involved at least 180 ballistic missiles. The Pentagon says about 200, or about twice the size of the prior April attack.
The waves of launches constituted the largest missile strike on Israel by Iran in history.
IRGC is claiming that 90% of missiles successfully hit their targets in Israel.
There were confirmed strikes on the ground, but no official casualties reported.
Israel's emergency authorities have lifted all restrictions, and people in Tel Aviv have emerged from bomb shelters and returned to the streets.
White House says Iranian attack on Israel apparently "defeated and ineffective".
Sullivan says there will be consequences for the attack, and US is consulting Israel on next steps or a potential response
Axios' Barak Ravid has told CNN that he expects major Israeli retaliation strikes on Iran to come within the next several hours.
Iranian state TV says hypersonic Fatah missiles were used in the attack.
Iran's President on X stated he does not seek war but will face any threat from Israel firmly.
Iran has said it gave no prior warning to US, but it did consult with Russia.
The IDF is vowing to 'strike powerfully' at targets in the Middle East.
IDF spox: "Iran carried out a serious act tonight and is pushing the Middle East to an escalation. We will act at the place and time of our choosing, in accordance with the guidance of the political echelon."
IDF spox: "Tonight’s event will have consequences."
Iran-backed Iraqi militias say if the US takes part in “any hostile action” then US bases will come under attack.
UN chief condemns ‘broadening Mideast conflict’ without mentioning Iran.
Blinken: Iran's missile attack on Israel 'unacceptable,' entire world should condemn.
US says it is ready to defend Israel, with Biden ordering US military assets to confront any further inbound projectiles.
At least two guided-missile destroyers in Eastern Mediterranean fired interceptors at inbound Iranian missiles.
Pentagon says about a dozen interceptor missiles were fired.
Pentagon refuses to say whether US will join in on future kinetic strikes against Iran. https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/white-house-warns-iran-imminently-launch-ballistic-missiles-israel
Simplicius, Operation True Promise 2: Iran Strikes Again as Missile Barrage Overwhelms Israeli Defenses Watch the above videos of hundreds of missiles hitting Israel, then read this deluded tweet by a Netanyahu aide, who with a straight face declared that most missiles were intercepted... ..Video from the Iranian situation room when the order was given to fire an alleged 200 missiles... The biggest question that remains is whether the missiles have inflicted any real damage, or if they were merely scattershot ‘psychological’ actions.
On one hand, we have videos like the following which show missiles hitting random empty fields...
..On the other hand, we have eyewitness accounts and geolocations that appear to show the areas of sensitive targets being hit.
This Twitter thread has a bunch of them, including areas hit near Mossad headquarters, Ort Tel Nof airbase, etc.
These videos in particular claim to be from just outside Nevatim airbase which houses much of Israel’s F-35 fleet... ..It is currently impossible to find out whether the Air Base was damaged or destroyed, but the approximate range of the targets of Iranian Missiles is quite clear: Air Bases.
Iranian sources allegedly announced that “over 20 F-35s were destroyed” but of course such statements are usually hyperbolic and not reflective of reality—verification is needed.
In truth, Iran openly admitted notifying the US—and thereby Israel—of the strikes in advance, which gave Israel forewarning to take all their F-35s to the sky. This is standard procedure for high value assets like that before any strike, regularly carried out by both Ukraine and Russia in the SMO.
There are allegedly reports that Israel did in fact take its F-35 fleet to the skies as evidenced by a fleet of refueling tankers that were airborne, which suggests the F-35s were kept aloft throughout the duration of the attack... ..Token gestures only: USS Bulkely (DDG-84) and USS Cole (DDG-67) fired a dozen interceptors as part of the U.S. response to Iranian missiles launched at Israel, the Pentagon announced Tuesday... ..Iran of course again claimed they hadn’t used their best stuff yet:
Iran's Minister of Defense: 'None of our most advanced Missile capabilities were used in Operation True Promise-2'.
It doesn’t really matter in the end, because the attack as per usual is mostly theater, a kind of delicate dance between the warring parties, given that it was telegraphed in advance to notify the recipients for the purpose of de-escalating... ..Israel, however, claimed they would respond to any attack large or small—but as per usual, Israel barks loudly while relying entirely on its American backing. Biden had recently signaled he was at the end of his rope with supporting Israeli attacks, which could mean Israel will be forced to back down from its threat of “major” response against Iran... Without this backing, Israel would not be able to survive on its own, and would have long ceased to exist... ..Hezbollah’s Deputy Secretary General Sheikh Naim Qassem released a statement that Hezbollah is ready to repel the Israeli assault:
"WE'RE READY AND PREPARED TO CONFRONT ISRAEL GROUND OFFENSIVE, WE WILL BE VICTORIOUS", declares Hezbollah's Deputy SG Qassem in first live statement since assassination of party's chief Nasrallah and other leaders, stressing "Vast majority of Hezbollah's medium, long range weapons capabilities fully intact, despite Israeli lies"... ..Qassem eulogizes: "Popular, loved leader Nasrallah who dedicated his life to resistance and struggle" in 2nd video, stressing new SG will be chosen in near future, adding "We will fill leadership positions steadily. Be assured choices will be straightforward because they are clear".
Even Hezbollah’s greatest detractors and enemies admit that the death of Nasrallah is fairly meaningless vis-a-vis Hezbollah’s military integrity... ..Israel’s objectives make no logical sense and are not realistically achievable. That is, the chief stated objective of creating a buffer zone such that northern Israel can be secure from Hezbollah rocket attacks in order to facilitate the return of Israeli citizens. But any such settlement cannot possibly last because it would require Israel to devote inordinate forces to occupying all of southern Lebanon indefinitely... ..Thus, most likely Israel will take a few border villages, then if they cannot suck Iran into a giant regional war, backdoor emergency agreements will be struck by the US to prevent having to go to war against Iran. Israel would then save face by withdrawing under shallow claims of some obscure ‘victory’ with a list of phony Hezbollah assets destroyed, etc. At the same time, Israel will probably get a bunch of secret concessions from the historically weak US administration in exchange for saving the US from having to do heavy lifting against Iran... ..For what it’s worth, Jared Kushner wrote a long screed espousing his demented theory that Israel’s ‘destruction’ of Hezbollah is the gateway to effectively burying Iran. He cites Hezbollah as a ‘loaded gun pointed at Israel’ which was the sole bulwark protecting Iran’s nuclear facilities from being taken out. But after Israel finishes off Hezbollah, Kushner appears to imply Iran can be safely dealt with without fear of reprisal. It’s likely he’ll be eating his words in the not too distant future... However, he appears to point to a concerted plan, echoed by Naftali Bennett... ..As a last interesting note, around the time of Iran’s attack, Russian Deputy Prime Minister Chernyshenko was heading to Iran...
All the while, the full-on Prime Minister Mikhail Mishustin had landed yesterday to meet with Iranian president Pezeshkian amongst others... Some sources claim Mishustin was there to sign a major gas deal called the ‘contract of the century’, though official Russian outlets are more mum on the trip.
Netanyahu Says Regime Change in Iran Will Happen ‘A Lot Sooner Than People Think’ The Israeli leader released a video in English that he said was a message to the Iranian people.
“When Iran is finally free, and that moment will come a lot sooner than people think — everything will be different,” he said in English. “Our two ancient peoples, the Jewish people and the Persian people, will finally be at peace. Our two countries, Israel and Iran, will be at peace.” (Netanyahu is of Polish extraction.)
Netanyahu said that Iran’s “puppets” were being eliminated and warned that there’s “nowhere in the Middle East” that Israel cannot reach. “With every passing moment, the regime is bringing you — the noble Persian people — closer to the abyss,” he said. https://news.antiwar.com/2024/09/30/netanyahu-says-regime-change-in-iran-will-happen-a-lot-sooner-than-people-think/#gsc.tab=0
Gilbert Doctorow, Washington pushes China into Russia’s arms, pushes Iran into Russia’s arms All discussion in the Washington foreign policy establishment on how the Ukrainian war has pushed Russia into China’s arms and made it a ‘junior partner’ is utter nonsense. My contention is that a hubristic U.S. foreign policy that pays no attention to what adversaries are saying because that is ‘disinformation’ has pushed China into Russia’s arms.... The handwriting is on the wall. Beijing must support the new robust nuclear doctrine of Russia to ensure its neighbor’s victory over the U.S.-led coalition supporting Ukraine... ..By the same token, unqualified U.S. support, including active participation in Israel’s latest atrocities in Lebanon that resulted in the death of Hezbollah’s high command has pushed Iran into Russia’s arms. The liberal-minded new president of Iran has reversed his recently declared readiness for dialogue with the signatories of the now suspended Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action on nuclear arms. We saw the proof of that yesterday when Iran moved from wait-and-see mode into retaliatory mode for the humiliations Israel has inflicted on the Axis of Resistance. One hundred eighty ballistic missiles were fired at Israeli military targets and it would appear that they got through both the Iron Dome and air defenses provided by the U.S. fleet and French anti-aircraft systems.
I contend that Iran’s missile attack on Israel was approved in advance by Moscow when Vladimir Putin sent his envoy to Teheran a few days earlier. It is unthinkable that Iran would challenge Netanyahu so directly without the certainty that Russian air defense systems give it the best protection known on this planet.
After serving as a reliable if unacknowledged guarantor of the state of Israel for decades, Russia has clearly changed sides.
US Likely 'Had a Hand' in Israel’s Operation to Eliminate Hezbollah’s Leader Nasrallah - Analyst Iran has condemned the Israeli attack that killed Hezbollah’s Secretary-General Hassan Nasrallah, with President Masoud Pezeshkian claiming that the US greenlit the attack and bears partial responsibility for the "war crime." https://sputnikglobe.com/20240930/us-likely-had-a-hand-in-israels-operation-to-eliminate-hezbollahs-leader-nasrallah---analyst-1120355182.html
Iran won’t deploy forces to Lebanon – foreign ministry
Tehran is not afraid of war but stands for a safe and stable Middle East, spokesperson Nasser Kanaani has said “There is no need to send extra or volunteer forces of the Islamic Republic of Iran,” Foreign Ministry spokesperson Nasser Kanaani told a weekly news conference. Lebanon and fighters in the Palestinian territories “have the capability and strength to defend themselves against the aggression,” he added.
Over the past several weeks, Israel has carried out heavy airstrikes targeting Hezbollah in Lebanon and other militant groups in the region, including in Syria, Yemen, and Iraq. The Israeli offensives have raised fears that the conflict could engulf the entire Middle East and draw in Iran and the US, Israel’s main ally.
“We have not received any request in this regard from any side, on the contrary, we are informed and are sure that they do not need the help of our forces,” Kanaani told reporters. https://www.rt.com/news/604961-iran-no-forces-lebanon/
The most precarious place in the world to be a child: Israel’s year of war on children
Israel's onslaught against the Palestinian people has systematically targeted children in both Gaza and the West Bank. The result is a war against an entire generation. https://mondoweiss.net/2024/09/the-most-precarious-place-in-the-world-to-be-a-child-israels-year-of-war-on-children/
1,640 killed by Israel in Lebanon, including 104 children https://www.middleeastmonitor.com/20240930-1640-killed-by-israel-in-lebanon-including-104-children/
Russia calls on Israel to immediately stop hostilities in Lebanon — ambassador to Israel
Anatoly Viktorov stressed that Russia condemned the recent killing of Hassan Nasrallah, the secretary general of Lebanon’s Hezbollah Shia movement https://tass.com/politics/1849765
Israel calls for ethnic cleansing of “Shia enemy population” in southern Lebanon In order for Israel and its population to feel safe, Israeli Minister of Diaspora Affairs Amichai Chikli is calling for the southern portion of Lebanon to be ethnically cleansed of its "Shia enemy population."
On Twitter / X, Chikli wrote that he would like to see a buffer zone established near Lebanon's border with Israel – but on Lebanon's side, not Israel's, because Chikli believes that Lebanon should not even be considered a real country. https://www.naturalnews.com/2024-09-30-israel-ethnic-cleansing-shia-enemy-population-lebanon.html
100,000 people flee Lebanon for Syria due to Israeli strikes — UN
UN High Commissioner for Refugees Filippo Grandi said that staff from the UN High Commissioner for Refugees were present at four checkpoints on the Lebanese-Syrian border along with local authorities and the Syrian Arab Red Crescent to assist the refugees. https://tass.com/world/1849995
Israel's ground operation in Lebanon to entail years of fighting — Russian envoy
Anatoly Viktorov stressed that the Israeli politicians and military officers are "well aware of this". https://tass.com/politics/1849771
So Russia will take all of the globalist holdings in "Novorussia"? West Seeks to Finalize Using Frozen Russian Funds to Pay for Ukraine War https://libertarianinstitute.org/news/west-seeks-to-finalize-using-frozen-russian-funds-to-pay-for-ukraine-war/
BRICS Bilateral Trade Mechanisms: Russia, China Settling 95% of Payments in Own Currencies - Ambassador to Beijing https://sputnikglobe.com/20241001/russia-china-settling-95-of-payments-in-own-currencies---russian-ambassador-in-china-1120368868.html
Hurricane Helene death toll rises to 166 with hundreds more still missing. More than 1 million people remain without power https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2024/oct/02/hurricane-helene-death-toll
Kamala’s Katrina moment? Fed response to hurricane, port strike unsettles Dems before VP debate
Over the weekend, Hurricane Helene battered western North Carolina and eastern Tennessee, prompting large-scale flooding and killing more than 100 as of Monday. President Biden spent the weekend on the beach in Delaware and Harris was fundraising in California. https://justthenews.com/politics-policy/katrina-biden-harris-wh-handling-helene-port-strike-likely-put-walz-defense
Vance-Walz debate notes are neatly detailed here. My impression is that it was polite, and that (attorney) JD Vance had 31 IQ points on anybody else on the screen. His command of legal detail and context was highlighted in his correction of the "fact-checking moderator" about Haitian legal-status laws, before she cut his mic and moved-on. CBS Cuts Mics as Vance Challenges Fact Check At the beginning of the debate, Brennan said the debate would “provide the candidates with the opportunity to fact-check claims made by each other. CBS News reserves the right to mute microphones to maintain decorum.”
That policy came under pressure Tuesday night. During an exchange on immigration, Walz raised Vance’s statements about Haitian migrants in Springfield, Ohio.
“The people that I’m most worried about in Springfield, Ohio, are the American citizens who have had their lives destroyed by Kamala Harris’s open border,” Vance replied.
Brennan later clarified, after Walz’s response, that “Springfield, Ohio does have a large number of Haitian migrants who have legal status, temporary protected.”
Earlier this year, the Biden-Harris administration extended temporary protected status to 300,000 Haitians who were illegally in the United States.
“The rules were that you guys weren’t going to fact-check, and since you’re fact-checking me, I think it’s important to say what’s actually going on,” Vance rebutted.
Both moderators talked over Vance and tried to move to the next question as Walz also chimed in. CBS eventually muted both candidates’ microphones as Vance gave an explanation of the asylum process that gave the migrants in Ohio legal status, contrasting it with the green card application process which immigrants are typically expected to comply with.
“Gentlemen, the audience can’t hear you because your mics are cut,” Brennan said before moving on to a question about the economy. https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/post-debate-vance-vanquishes-knucklehead-walz-muting-moderators
California governor Gavin Newsom has just signed a new law banning local governments from requiring residents to present identification to vote in elections. https://www.zerohedge.com/political/newsom-outlaws-voter-id-rules-california
Alastair Crooke, Will the suffocating cage of Leviathan be avoided? Trump is not the ‘right card’, in the view of the U.S. power-élites; the Joker should have been pulled from the pack. Every ‘Empire’ needs too, a common substantive culture to make strong decisions of general interest. In the European past there were two: Catholicism and the Enlightenment. They clashed. And both now have been marginalized for the benefit of libertarian arbitrariness, intended to free the individual from all constraints of communal norms.
Post-modern culture makes people “mad because individual freedom no longer accepts objective truth”. The virtual world kills the sense of the real – to replace it with imagined reality. The art of governing becomes that of administering an imposed pretence; one which people can clearly observe about them is not real, yet they are obliged to pretend that ‘narrative’ is the objective real.
This tension leads to existential insecurity and exploding reports of people in poor mental health... ..Fiona Hill, formerly of a member of the U.S. National Security Council, propounds the counter-view: that since U.S. interests, described mostly as ‘threats’ which are long term, “the structures to address those threats must also be long-term, too”... ..Hill is saying ‘the Aristocracy’ will rule long-term, via institutionalised, ‘inter-agency’ world order prescription.
This then, is the Aristocracy’s solution to the Imperial succession lacuna: Leviathan. “Leviathan – whose promise and project is straight forward – cancel all powers except one, which will be universal and absolute”.
The implicit aim is to ‘Trump-proof’ policy prescriptions. This implicit objective however, underlines its flaw. There will be no participation. People will not participate; nor do they feel that they participate – because they don’t. The mood amongst the World Order back-room strategists is that selecting political candidates by voting has become ‘a bug’ and is no longer a feature... ..It is at such a point in history that a ‘Big Man’ often emerges into the arena; one who challenges the emperor. The ‘Big Man’ is perceived to speak for the people, whose participation in political life has been dulled out, and who are angry... ..What is the way out then, as the homeland slowly implodes? Well, the Washington Post article concludes by advocating a new supra-national global governance Order; likely a Davos- style digital-authoritarian governance designed to preserve a consistent policy and alignment, before the Russo-Chinese-Iranian-BRICS link-up beats them to it.
If the western states do not take the risk of freedom, then they take the risk of the Leviathan....“What the Ruling Strata have not understood is that postmodern libertarian deregulation cannot be defined by economics and sex alone”.
“The extraordinary technical power, on which the Leviathan relies is inseparable from economic reality. It is therefore a techno-market reality, a power of technique and money that exercises a form of tyranny. In this context, what is likely to prevent the triumph of the Leviathan is the collapse of technical civilization” – as such that it is. https://strategic-culture.su/news/2024/09/30/will-the-suffocating-cage-of-leviathan-be-avoided/
Guilty, C.J. Hopkins is Officially a Hate Speech Criminal in Germany, after a re-trial to fix his not-guilty verdict So, the Berlin Appellate Court overturned my acquittal today. I am now, officially, at least according to the New Normal German authorities, a “hate-speech” criminal. I’m officially a “hate-speech” criminal because I compared New Normal Germany to Nazi Germany, and I challenged the official Covid narrative, and I used the cover art of my book to do it. The New Normal German authorities didn’t like that, and were determined to punish me for doing that, and to make an example of me, in order to discourage other people from doing that. It took them two tries, but they pulled it off. The judge in my original trial screwed up and acquitted me, but the Berlin Public Prosecutor’s office didn’t give up. .https://consentfactory.org/2024/10/01/guilty/
‘I pled guilty to journalism’ – Assange, The WikiLeaks founder has made his first public appearance since being released from a UK prison WikiLeaks founder Julian Assange urged European lawmakers to act against rising “transnational repression” of journalism by great powers during an address to the Parliamentary Assembly of the Council of Europe (PACE) on Tuesday. It was his first public appearance since being released from prison in late June.
Assange spent years locked up at a high-security prison in the UK as he fought extradition to the US, which had accused him of unlawfully obtaining and disclosing classified information relating to national defense. In June, he struck a plea bargain with the US Justice Department, formally acknowledging some guilt and waiving the right to legal recourse through, for example, the European Court of Human Rights, in exchange for freedom.
”I want to be totally clear. I am not free today because the system worked. I am free today, after years of incarceration, because I pled guilty to journalism,” he told members of the PACE Legal Affairs Committee in Strasbourg. https://swentr.site/news/605034-wikileaks-assange-pace-testimony/
Assange: Plea Deal With US Precludes Appeals to Top European Rights Court "I eventually chose freedom over unrealizable justice, after being detained for years and facing a 175-year sentence with no effective remedy. Justice for me is now precluded, as the US government insisted in writing into its plea agreement that I cannot file a case at the European Court of Human Rights or even a Freedom of Information Act request over what it did to me as a result of its extradition request," Assange told a hearing in Strasbourg. https://sputnikglobe.com/20241001/assange-plea-deal-with-us-precludes-appeals-to-top-european-rights-court-1120376441.html
In 1971 a strike like this lasted half a year. No toilet-paper in Hawaii. Dockworkers at ports from Maine to Texas go on strike, a standoff risking new shortages Shipping companies made billions during the pandemic by charging high prices, he said. “Now we want them to pay back. They’re going to pay back,” Butler said. He said the union will strike for as long as it needs to get a fair deal, and it has leverage over the companies. https://apnews.com/article/port-strike-ila-dockworkers-begins-e5468e760f46a64e4322d1702beb1f72
Meryl Nass MD, on one of those bills that "has to pass before we can know what's in int": The Pact for the Future, adopted Sept. 22 by Consensus, seems to have many interpretations. Here is a CHD report, quoting many of us. And some brief thoughts of mine.
Meryl Nass MD, Vaccines have a unique place in US law that shields them from liability. This enables manufacturers to take risks they might not otherwise take. COVID taught a lot of people that liability shields are dangerous. Now 31 Congress members want to remove that shield
All of the pericarditis and myocarditis cases they found in kids: Covid vaccines associated with ALL cases of heart inflammation in children in a large UK health dataset
Heart Healthy Gardener
IF, as the Whitehouse says, Iran's attack on Israel was "defeated and
ineffective", then Israel really has no reason to seek the REVENGE it's
promising ?
(It's refreshing to know Israeli politicians are a rare breed - they keep
promises, though specific about REVENGE ?)...
Particularly nice pic!